What the data says about crypto & the CLARITY Act

Ten charts, ordered from the most damning to the most technical. Each is built from public records; the full essay walks the argument and links every source.

Read the full essay →

See every project rated, the full appendix table →

1 · The headline

Fifteen years, thousands of tokens, zero legitimate use cases.

Scorecard of 149 flagship crypto projects: zero are legitimate.

What it shows. We took the best-funded, most-hyped project in every real-world use crypto has ever claimed (supply chains, carbon, identity, voting, music, payments, 149 in all) and asked one question of each: is it used outside the crypto bubble, legally, in a way that genuinely needs a blockchain? None pass.

Why it matters. The entire industry is sold on real-world utility. After fifteen years the strongest examples are either speculation, abandoned pilots, or things only crypto itself uses. The promise still hasn’t arrived.

2 · The wreckage vs. the bill

$81.4 billion has been lost, and the new law reaches only about a quarter of it.

Of $81.4B in crypto losses, the CLARITY Act structurally reaches about a quarter to a third.

What it shows. Every dollar lost to crypto hacks, scams and collapses since 2021, grouped by cause and colored by whether the CLARITY Act would structurally have prevented it.

Why it matters. The bill is sold as consumer protection. It does address exchange blow-ups like FTX, but the de-pegs, DeFi exploits, foreign scams and laundering flows, which are most of the damage, sit outside it by design.

3 · The money in politics

Crypto is the #2 corporate election spender since Citizens United, behind only Big Oil.

Crypto is the #2 corporate election spender since Citizens United, behind only fossil fuels.

What it shows. Corporate money spent influencing US federal elections since 2010, by industry. Crypto vaulted into second place, and 92% of its total was spent in the 2024 cycle alone.

Why it matters. An industry that can’t explain what it’s for outspent pharma, big tech, and everyone except fossil fuels to shape the laws that govern it. That is how a bill advances without the underlying case ever being made.

4 · The return on that money

It won 53 of the 58 races it targeted, a 91% hit rate.

Crypto super PACs won 53 of 58 targeted races in 2024.

What it shows. The outcomes of the 58 congressional races crypto super PACs spent in during 2024: 53 wins, 5 losses.

Why it matters. This isn’t persuasion, it’s deterrence. After crypto money helped retire its loudest Senate critic (Sherrod Brown, ~$40M against), every other member learned exactly what opposition costs.

5 · The dollar nobody audits

The largest dollar-token, about $190 billion, has never had a real audit.

Tether: a roughly $190B token whose reserves have never been fully audited.

What it shows. Tether’s reserves by asset type. Roughly $40B sits in gold, bitcoin, loans and “other,” disclosed only through point-in-time attestations, never the full audit a bank or money-market fund must pass.

Why it matters. USDT is the main settlement rail for sanctions evasion and ransomware, and a dollar-pegged token much of the world trusts on the issuer’s word. If it ever can’t cover redemptions, the damage lands far outside crypto.

6 · The tell

On K Street it’s a minnow, so it skipped lobbying and bought the elections instead.

In ordinary registered lobbying, crypto spends a fraction of pharma or tech.

What it shows. 2024 federal lobbying spend by industry. Crypto spends a small fraction of what pharma or tech do on K Street.

Why it matters. Set this next to chart 3 and the strategy is plain: crypto’s power didn’t come from working the rules in Washington; it came from choosing who gets to be in Washington.

7 · The trajectory

From $5.2 million to a $193 million war chest in four years.

Crypto election spending grew from $5.2M in 2020 to a $193M war chest for 2026.

What it shows. Crypto’s election spending over time, plus the cash already stockpiled for the 2026 midterms.

Why it matters. This is a permanent political force, not a one-off. The 2026 war chest is already bigger than everything the industry spent in 2024.

8 · Who paid

A handful of companies paid for almost all of it.

Two firms, Coinbase and Ripple, supplied nearly half of crypto super PAC funding.

What it shows. The largest donors to crypto’s super PACs. Two firms, Coinbase and Ripple, supplied close to half the money.

Why it matters. This isn’t a grassroots movement. A few companies, several of them facing SEC charges, bankrolled the campaign to write their own rules.

9 · What it bought

Two crypto laws passed, a third advancing.

Congressional votes on FIT21, the GENIUS Act, and the CLARITY Act.

What it shows. The key congressional votes on crypto legislation and where each one stands.

Why it matters. The spending wasn’t abstract. It produced the GENIUS Act (now law) and is carrying the CLARITY Act through a Congress it helped elect.

10 · The honest caveat

Putting the $81.4 billion in fair perspective.

Cumulative crypto losses next to illicit volume, Tether's size, and total market cap.

What it shows. The cumulative losses set beside other crypto measures (annual illicit volume, Tether’s size, total market cap) and flagged as running totals vs. point-in-time snapshots so the comparison is fair.

Why it matters. $81B is enormous in absolute terms but small against the whole market. So the argument isn’t “it’s all worthless”: it’s that the harm is real and the law doesn’t reach most of it.